Abstract:
A simulation framework for evaluating revenue that may use a pricing engine that runs at least one pricing algorithm with particular configurations and under particular model market conditions to provide revenue projections.
Abstract:
Systems and methods for automatically forecasting the future availability of one or more resources, such as Internet advertising opportunities, are described herein. In accordance with various embodiments, a forecasting model that accounts for event-driven resource availability is trained based both on historical supply data and calendar information specifying events and event duration. The trained forecasting model is then used to forecast the availability of resources at one or more specified future time periods. In accordance with certain embodiments, the forecasting model comprises a Gaussian process model that has an event-driven kernel as a covariance function.
Abstract:
Techniques are described herein for using an impression-trend technique to provide a display advertising supply forecast. A display advertising supply forecast is an estimate of a number of impressions, which are to occur in a future time period, that have specified attribute values. For example, the specified attribute values may be descriptive of impressions with respect to which an advertiser wishes to place ads. An impression-trend technique is a forecasting technique that uses trends regarding past impressions to forecast a number of future impressions that have specified attribute values. The past impressions include attribute values that are related to the specified attribute values.
Abstract:
Methods and systems are disclosed which allow shifting inventory to fulfill guaranteed delivery advertisement contracts. Inventory may be allocated from a supply of unallocated inventory to one or more advertisers in accordance with guaranteed delivery agreements. Inventory may be reserved for the one or more advertisers from the remaining supply of unallocated inventory. Inventory may then be allocated to an additional advertiser by using unallocated inventory or shifted inventory, or a combination of unallocated inventory and shifted inventory. The shifted inventory is shifted out of the allocation for the first advertiser and the shifted inventory is replaced by the reserve inventory for the respective advertiser.
Abstract:
A system and method for dynamic pricing in a guaranteed display market includes: receiving attribute parameters and values for an incoming pricing query for an advertisement; calculating a base price for the advertisement using recent historical information from contracts matching the attribute parameters; calculating a price response by adjusting the base price to reflect market conditions; calculating a non-guaranteed display opportunity cost for the adjusted base price; and calculating a final price as a function of the adjusted base price and the non-guaranteed display opportunity cost, with the non-guaranteed display opportunity cost as a lower bound for the price.