Abstract:
Described herein are example systems and operations for enhancing targeted delivery of online content using action rate lift and/or A/B testing. These examples provide solutions to problems in targeted delivery of online content, such as the problem of not being able to identify audience and/or situational targets mostly or only influenced by the content item or campaign of concern. For example, described herein are solutions that can estimate AR lift associated with a content item, and then distribute the content item or similar content items accordingly. An AR lift model can be used and such a model can use machine learning, A/B testing, and/or statistical analysis.
Abstract:
Described herein are techniques and systems for online ad campaign tuning using proportional-integral-derivative (PID) controllers, such as proportional (P) controllers and proportional-integral (PI) controllers. Also, described herein are techniques and systems for shortening a learning/tuning phase of a PID controller used for optimizing an online ad campaign.
Abstract:
Described herein are example systems and operations for enhancing response prediction and bidding decision making. A feature recommendation controller may include a factorization machine that generates a set of combinations of contextual and advertiser features yielding high expected response rates. A bidding controller may implement a multi-arm bandit system that uses Thompson sampling to select an optimal one of the feature combinations that corresponds to a highest expected response rate. The bidding controller may compare the corresponding highest expected response rate with a threshold response rate associated with a pacing rate to determine whether to place a bid for a received ad request.
Abstract:
Described herein are techniques and systems for online ad campaign pacing. The techniques described herein use budget allocation along with the estimations of bids and response rates. With use of budget allocation, the techniques can use budget pacing to enhance impressions and maximize desired responses, such as desired click-through rates. These techniques focus on enhancing pacing and performance of ad campaigns, such as enhancing performance across distinct and/or unified online ad marketplaces. These techniques are especially useful in the context of a demand-side platform (DSP). In some examples, the techniques assume that impression supply is much larger than advertiser demand for impressions of their ads, so such techniques focus on selecting high performing inventory of ad space. Yet, with such a focus, a smooth or consistent delivery of ads over time is used.