Framework for choosing the appropriate generalized linear model

    公开(公告)号:US11593713B2

    公开(公告)日:2023-02-28

    申请号:US16897400

    申请日:2020-06-10

    Inventor: Cynthia Freeman

    Abstract: Systems and methods are provided framework for automatically choosing the appropriate generalized linear model (GLM) given a time series of count data, and for anomaly detection on time series data. A dispersion parameter is determined and used to determine whether the count data is overdispersed data or underdispersed data. The overdispersed data or the underdispersed data is used to determine a GLM to apply on the dataset. Using the determined GLM on the data, anomalies can be determined.

    MULTIVARIATE RISK ASSESSMENT VIA POISSON SHELVES

    公开(公告)号:US20220351099A1

    公开(公告)日:2022-11-03

    申请号:US17745422

    申请日:2022-05-16

    Abstract: Detecting fraudulent activity can be a complex, manual process. In this paper, we adapt statistical properties of count data in a novel algorithm to uncover records exhibiting high risk for fraud. Our method identifies shelves, partitioning data under the counts using a Student's t-distribution. We apply this methodology on a univariate dataset including cumulative results from phone calls to a customer service center. Additionally, we extend this technique to multivariate data, illustrating that the same method is applicable to both univariate and multivariate data.

    SELECTING FORECASTING ALGORITHMS USING MOTIFS

    公开(公告)号:US20240020545A1

    公开(公告)日:2024-01-18

    申请号:US17812312

    申请日:2022-07-13

    CPC classification number: G06N5/022

    Abstract: The present disclosure describes methods and systems for selecting the forecasting algorithm to use for a prediction based on motifs. A motif is a pattern of interval values that is found to repeat in time series data. Time series data that includes historical demand data (e.g., average communication volume) for an entity at various time intervals in the past is received. The time series data is processed to identify motifs. For each identified motif, the forecasting algorithm that best predicts the historical demand data for time intervals associated with the motif is determined. Later, when the entity desires to receive a forecast for a future time interval, the motif associated with the future time interval is determined. The forecasting algorithm determined to best predict demand for the determined motif is then used to predict the demand for the future time interval.

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