SYSTEMS AND METHODS FOR INDICATOR IDENTIFICATION

    公开(公告)号:US20240232702A1

    公开(公告)日:2024-07-11

    申请号:US18152879

    申请日:2023-01-11

    Applicant: ADOBE INC.

    CPC classification number: G06N20/00

    Abstract: One aspect of a method for data processing includes identifying target time series data for a target metric and candidate time series data for a plurality of indicators predictive of the target metric; training a machine learning model to predict the target time series data based on the candidate time series data; computing first through third predictivity values based on the machine learning model, wherein the first predictivity value indicates that a source indicator from the plurality of indicators is predictive of the target metric, the second predictivity value indicates that an intermediate indicator from the plurality of indicators is predictive of the target metric, and the third predictivity value indicates that the source indicator is predictive of the intermediate indicator; and displaying a portion of the candidate time series data corresponding to the intermediate indicator and the source indicator based on the first through third predictivity values.

    Systems for Estimating Terminal Event Likelihood

    公开(公告)号:US20230051416A1

    公开(公告)日:2023-02-16

    申请号:US17402788

    申请日:2021-08-16

    Applicant: Adobe Inc.

    Abstract: In implementations of systems for estimating terminal event likelihood, a computing device implements a termination system to receive observed data describing values of a treatment metric and indications of a terminal event. Values of the treatment metric are grouped into groups using a mixture model that represents the treatment metric as a mixture of distributions. Parameters of a distribution are estimated for each of the groups and mixing proportions are also estimated for each of the groups. In response to receiving a user input requesting an estimate of a likelihood of the terminal event for a particular value of the treatment metric, the termination system generates an indication of the estimate of the likelihood of the terminal event for the particular value based on a distribution density at the particular value for each of the groups and a probability of including the particular value in each of the groups.

    DETERMINING FEATURE CONTRIBUTIONS TO DATA METRICS UTILIZING A CAUSAL DEPENDENCY MODEL

    公开(公告)号:US20240061830A1

    公开(公告)日:2024-02-22

    申请号:US18492551

    申请日:2023-10-23

    Applicant: Adobe Inc.

    CPC classification number: G06F16/2365

    Abstract: The present disclosure relates to methods, systems, and non-transitory computer-readable media for determining causal contributions of dimension values to anomalous data based on causal effects of such dimension values on the occurrence of other dimension values from interventions performed in a causal graph. For example, the disclosed systems can identify an anomalous dimension value that reflects a threshold change in value between an anomalous time period and a reference time period. The disclosed systems can determine causal effects by traversing a causal network representing dependencies between different dimensions associated with the dimension values. Based on the causal effects, the disclosed systems can determine causal contributions of particular dimension values on the anomalous dimension value. Further, the disclosed systems can generate a causal-contribution ranking of the particular dimension values based on the determined causal contributions.

    Determining feature contributions to data metrics utilizing a causal dependency model

    公开(公告)号:US11797515B2

    公开(公告)日:2023-10-24

    申请号:US16813424

    申请日:2020-03-09

    Applicant: Adobe Inc.

    CPC classification number: G06F16/2365

    Abstract: The present disclosure relates to methods, systems, and non-transitory computer-readable media for determining causal contributions of dimension values to anomalous data based on causal effects of such dimension values on the occurrence of other dimension values from interventions performed in a causal graph. For example, the disclosed systems can identify an anomalous dimension value that reflects a threshold change in value between an anomalous time period and a reference time period. The disclosed systems can determine causal effects by traversing a causal network representing dependencies between different dimensions associated with the dimension values. Based on the causal effects, the disclosed systems can determine causal contributions of particular dimension values on the anomalous dimension value. Further, the disclosed systems can generate a causal-contribution ranking of the particular dimension values based on the determined causal contributions.

    TREATMENT EFFECT ESTIMATION USING OBSERVATIONAL AND INTERVENTIONAL SAMPLES

    公开(公告)号:US20230144357A1

    公开(公告)日:2023-05-11

    申请号:US17520403

    申请日:2021-11-05

    Applicant: ADOBE INC.

    CPC classification number: G06Q10/0637

    Abstract: A treatment effect system estimates treatment effects by trading off between observational samples and interventional samples to maintain within a budget while providing high confidence. The treatment effect system determines whether to perform interventions by comparing the cost of interventional samples with metrics regarding the joint probability distribution of treatments and their parents in a first set of observational samples. If it is determined to not perform interventions, the treatment effect for each treatment is determined using an estimator that uses the first set of observational samples independent of a second set of observational samples. If it is determined to perform interventions, each treatment is identified as a reliable or unreliable treatment. The treatment effect for reliable treatments is estimated using an estimator that uses the first set of observational samples split into two portions. The treatment effect for unreliable treatments is estimated using interventional samples generated from interventions.

    Systems and methods for content customization

    公开(公告)号:US12206925B2

    公开(公告)日:2025-01-21

    申请号:US17813622

    申请日:2022-07-20

    Applicant: ADOBE INC.

    Abstract: Systems and methods for content customization are provided. One aspect of the systems and methods includes receiving dynamic characteristics for a plurality of users, wherein the dynamic characteristics include interactions between the plurality of users and a digital content channel; clustering the plurality of users in a plurality of segments based on the dynamic characteristics using a machine learning model; assigning a user to a segment of the plurality of segments based on static characteristics of the user; and providing customized digital content for the user based on the segment.

    Systems for estimating terminal event likelihood

    公开(公告)号:US12154042B2

    公开(公告)日:2024-11-26

    申请号:US17402788

    申请日:2021-08-16

    Applicant: Adobe Inc.

    Abstract: In implementations of systems for estimating terminal event likelihood, a computing device implements a termination system to receive observed data describing values of a treatment metric and indications of a terminal event. Values of the treatment metric are grouped into groups using a mixture model that represents the treatment metric as a mixture of distributions. Parameters of a distribution are estimated for each of the groups and mixing proportions are also estimated for each of the groups. In response to receiving a user input requesting an estimate of a likelihood of the terminal event for a particular value of the treatment metric, the termination system generates an indication of the estimate of the likelihood of the terminal event for the particular value based on a distribution density at the particular value for each of the groups and a probability of including the particular value in each of the groups.

    DETERMINING FEATURE CONTRIBUTIONS TO DATA METRICS UTILIZING A CAUSAL DEPENDENCY MODEL

    公开(公告)号:US20210279230A1

    公开(公告)日:2021-09-09

    申请号:US16813424

    申请日:2020-03-09

    Applicant: Adobe Inc.

    Abstract: The present disclosure relates to methods, systems, and non-transitory computer-readable media for determining causal contributions of dimension values to anomalous data based on causal effects of such dimension values on the occurrence of other dimension values from interventions performed in a causal graph. For example, the disclosed systems can identify an anomalous dimension value that reflects a threshold change in value between an anomalous time period and a reference time period. The disclosed systems can determine causal effects by traversing a causal network representing dependencies between different dimensions associated with the dimension values. Based on the causal effects, the disclosed systems can determine causal contributions of particular dimension values on the anomalous dimension value. Further, the disclosed systems can generate a causal-contribution ranking of the particular dimension values based on the determined causal contributions.

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