公开(公告)号：US20230051416A1

公开(公告)日：2023-02-16

申请号：US17402788

申请日：2021-08-16

Applicant: Adobe Inc.

Inventor： Vibhor Porwal ,  Ayush Chauhan ,  Aurghya Maiti ,  Gaurav Sinha ,  Ruchi Sandeep Pandya

IPC: G06N7/00 ,  G06K9/62 ,  G06N5/04

Abstract: In implementations of systems for estimating terminal event likelihood, a computing device implements a termination system to receive observed data describing values of a treatment metric and indications of a terminal event. Values of the treatment metric are grouped into groups using a mixture model that represents the treatment metric as a mixture of distributions. Parameters of a distribution are estimated for each of the groups and mixing proportions are also estimated for each of the groups. In response to receiving a user input requesting an estimate of a likelihood of the terminal event for a particular value of the treatment metric, the termination system generates an indication of the estimate of the likelihood of the terminal event for the particular value based on a distribution density at the particular value for each of the groups and a probability of including the particular value in each of the groups.

公开(公告)号：US12154042B2

公开(公告)日：2024-11-26

申请号：US17402788

申请日：2021-08-16

Applicant: Adobe Inc.

Inventor： Vibhor Porwal ,  Ayush Chauhan ,  Aurghya Maiti ,  Gaurav Sinha ,  Ruchi Sandeep Pandya

IPC: G06N7/01 ,  G06F18/214 ,  G06F18/2321 ,  G06F18/23213 ,  G06N5/046 ,  G06N20/00 ,  G06F9/54

Abstract: In implementations of systems for estimating terminal event likelihood, a computing device implements a termination system to receive observed data describing values of a treatment metric and indications of a terminal event. Values of the treatment metric are grouped into groups using a mixture model that represents the treatment metric as a mixture of distributions. Parameters of a distribution are estimated for each of the groups and mixing proportions are also estimated for each of the groups. In response to receiving a user input requesting an estimate of a likelihood of the terminal event for a particular value of the treatment metric, the termination system generates an indication of the estimate of the likelihood of the terminal event for the particular value based on a distribution density at the particular value for each of the groups and a probability of including the particular value in each of the groups.