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公开(公告)号:US20250013899A1
公开(公告)日:2025-01-09
申请号:US18888047
申请日:2024-09-17
Applicant: Amazon Technologies, Inc.
Inventor: Giovanni Zappella , Valerio Perrone , Iaroslav Shcherbatyi , Rodolphe Jenatton , Cedric Philippe Archambeau , Matthias Seeger
Abstract: Hyperparameters for tuning a machine learning system may be optimized using Bayesian optimization with constraints. The hyperparameter optimization may be performed for a received training set and received constraints. Respective probabilistic models for the machine learning system and constraint functions may be initialized, then hyperparameter optimization may include iteratively identifying respective values for hyperparameters using analysis of the respective models performed using an acquisition function implementing entropy search on the respective models, training the machine learning system using the identified values to determine measures of accuracy and constraint metrics, and updating the respective models using the determined measures.
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公开(公告)号:US11281969B1
公开(公告)日:2022-03-22
申请号:US16116631
申请日:2018-08-29
Applicant: Amazon Technologies, Inc.
Inventor: Syama Rangapuram , Jan Alexander Gasthaus , Tim Januschowski , Matthias Seeger , Lorenzo Stella
Abstract: A composite time series forecasting model comprising a neural network sub-model and one or more state space sub-models corresponding to individual time series is trained. During training, output of the neural network sub-model is used to determine parameters of the state space sub-models, and a loss function is computed using the values of the time series and probabilistic values generated as output by the state space sub-models. A trained version of the composite model is stored.
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公开(公告)号:US12165082B1
公开(公告)日:2024-12-10
申请号:US16915610
申请日:2020-06-29
Applicant: Amazon Technologies, Inc.
Inventor: Giovanni Zappella , Valerio Perrone , Iaroslav Shcherbatyi , Rodolphe Jenatton , Cedric Philippe Archambeau , Matthias Seeger
Abstract: Hyperparameters for tuning a machine learning system may be optimized using Bayesian optimization with constraints. The hyperparameter optimization may be performed for a received training set and received constraints. Respective probabilistic models for the machine learning system and constraint functions may be initialized, then hyperparameter optimization may include iteratively identifying respective values for hyperparameters using analysis of the respective models performed using an acquisition function implementing entropy search on the respective models, training the machine learning system using the identified values to determine measures of accuracy and constraint metrics, and updating the respective models using the determined measures.
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公开(公告)号:US10748072B1
公开(公告)日:2020-08-18
申请号:US15153713
申请日:2016-05-12
Applicant: Amazon Technologies, Inc.
Inventor: Matthias Seeger , Gregory Michael Duncan , Jan Alexander Gasthaus
Abstract: With respect to an input data set which contains observation records of a time series, a statistical model which utilizes a likelihood function comprising a latent function is generated. The latent function comprises a combination of a deterministic component and a random process. Parameters of the model are fitted using approximate Bayesian inference, and the model is used to generate probabilistic forecasts corresponding to the input data set.
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