An image decoding method includes: acquiring a multiple transform selection (MTS) index and residual information from a bitstream; deriving transform coefficients for the current block on the basis of the residual information; and generating residual samples of the current block on the basis of the MTS index and the transform coefficients, wherein the MTS index indicates a transform kernel set to be applied to the current block among transform kernel set candidates, at least one bin among bins of a bin string of the MTS index is derived on the basis of context coding, the context coding is performed on the basis of values of increase and decrease in a context index pertaining to the MTS index, and a single value of increase and decrease in the context index can be used for the context coding of the first bin among the bins of the bin string.