Abstract:
A method of dynamically adjusting an industrial system outage plan is disclosed. Data items pertaining to changes to past plans associated with past outages of a plurality of industrial systems are received along with optional inputs from physics based model(s) of the system, such as a fuel model. The data items include measurements of impacts of changes to the past plans. Work rules pertaining to a work force are received. The work force is responsible for implementing an additional plan corresponding to an additional outage of an additional industrial system. The work rules include fatigue thresholds for workers in the work force. Based on a determination that a probability that one or more fatigue thresholds will be exceeded, a recommendation for a change to the additional plan is generated. The recommendation is based on the measurements of the impacts of the changes to the past plans.