A mobile terminal measures interference over multiple measurement periods and generates interference probability data based on the statistical distribution of the interference measured. The interference probability data may describe, for example, the probability of each possible level of interference expected at the mobile terminal. The mobile terminal derives channel quality information as feedback to a base station based on this interference probability data (e.g., when noise at the mobile terminal falls below a threshold). In one embodiment, the mobile terminal does so by estimating from the interference probability data the probability of successfully receiving a transmission if certain feedback information is reported. Derived in this way, the feedback information more reliably indicates interference likely present at the mobile terminal when the base station sends the transmission. Accordingly, the base station controls the transmission based on the feedback information, and in some embodiments, also based on the interference probability data.