发明授权
- 专利标题: Method and systems for predicting solar energy production
- 专利标题(中): 预测太阳能生产的方法和系统
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申请号: US12459455申请日: 2009-07-01
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公开(公告)号: US08280799B2公开(公告)日: 2012-10-02
- 发明人: James M. Bing
- 申请人: James M. Bing
- 申请人地址: US MA Littleton
- 专利权人: New Virtus Engineering, Inc.
- 当前专利权人: New Virtus Engineering, Inc.
- 当前专利权人地址: US MA Littleton
- 代理机构: Hamilton, Brook, Smith & Reynolds, P.C.
- 主分类号: G06Q40/00
- IPC分类号: G06Q40/00
摘要:
A method of anticipating a short-term future electrical energy demand of an energy trader's customers includes calculating a short-term future net electrical energy demand required to meet the demand of customer facilities which have a solar energy generating system or systems in a geographic region. The method further includes determining a resulting difference, expressed as a shortfall or surplus, between the short-term future net electrical energy demand and an amount of electrical energy purchased in long-term contracts for the supply of the customer facilities, and bargaining a buying price or a selling price for energy in a short-term future or day-ahead market based on the shortfall or surplus. A method for hedging energy sales or purchases in a short-term future or day-ahead market includes determining an historical performance of a regional net energy forecasting methodology for a facility or facilities which have solar energy generating systems in a geographical region. The method further includes estimating a difference between the maximum cost of energy in a spot market and an energy trader's minimum price of energy for each hour bid in the short-term future or day-ahead market, determining a risk factor associated with energy sales or purchases from the historical performance and the estimated difference, and purchasing or selling options to buy energy at the previous day's day-ahead market price based on the determined risk factor.
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