Systems, methods, and other embodiments associated with long-term predictions for specific maintenance within a planned maintenance schedule. In one embodiment, a method includes updating a failure probability curve for a component part of a device based at least in part on data obtained from a sensor associated with the component part; determining based at least in part on the updated failure probability curve that a likelihood of failure for the component part following a first upcoming planned maintenance and before a second upcoming planned maintenance exceeds a threshold; and transmitting a work order for specific maintenance to reduce the likelihood of failure of the component part to be performed during the first upcoming planned maintenance.