Predicting data throughput with a user device comprises a wireless system supported by wireless access points receiving signals from the user device. A wireless prediction system receives data from the wireless system, where the data comprises characteristics of the wireless access point, characteristics of communications with user computing devices, and data throughput statistics. The prediction system categorizes the received data based on one or more of a set of characteristics and determines a maximum data throughput capacity for each of the one or more wireless access points for each of the one or more set of characteristics. The system receives a request for a prediction of data throughput capacity for a particular wireless access point and, based on the characteristics of the particular wireless access point, determines an estimated data throughput capacity based on data throughputs of wireless access points having similar characteristics.