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发明公开
CN106779142A 一种售电主体合约电量优化方法及装置 无效 - 驳回

一种售电主体合约电量优化方法及装置
摘要：
本发明涉及一种售电主体合约电量优化方法及装置，所述方法包括：构建售电主体的年收益模型，并利用所述年收益模型模拟售电主体的年收益；根据所述售电主体的年收益，分别确定售电主体的收益期望、收益风险和效用值；调节所述售电主体的年收益模型中的实际合约电量占标准合约电量的比例系数，获取售电主体的效用值最大时对应的年收益模型中的实际合约电量占标准合约电量的比例系数；利用所述实际合约电量占标准合约电量的比例系数获取最优合约电量；本发明提供的技术方案，通过确定最优的合约电量，为售电公司制定最优的购电策略，使得售电公司的总收益达到最大，同时将收益风险降至最低。
摘要（英）：

The invention relates to a method and a device for optimizing the contract electricity quantity of an electricity selling subject. The method comprises the steps of building an annual earning model of the electricity selling subject, and simulating annual earnings of the electricity selling subject by using the annual earning model; respectively determining an earning expectation, an earning risk and a utility value of the electricity selling subject according to the annual earnings of the electricity selling subject; adjusting a proportional coefficient of the actual contract electricity quantity in the standard contract electricity quantity in the annual earning model of the electricity selling subject, and acquiring a corresponding proportional coefficient of the actual contract electricity quantity in the standard contract electricity quantity in the annual earning model when the utility value of the electricity selling subject is the maximum; and acquiring the optimal contract electricity quantity by using the proportional coefficient of the actual contract electricity quantity in the standard contract electricity quantity. According to the technical scheme provided by the invention, an optimal electricity purchasing strategy is formatted for an electricity selling company through determining the optimal contract electricity quantity, so that the gross earnings of the electricity selling company are enabled to reach the maximum, and the earning risk is enabled to be minimized at the same time.

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